A Magic Formula for Estimating Wedding RSVPs
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A Magic Formula for Estimating Wedding RSVPs
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Written by Ben Hindman

@bennydotevents

A Magic Formula for Estimating Wedding RSVPs

July 28, 2015

You may feel as though your wedding is a celebration engineered for you and your partner, but I believe planning a wedding is just like planning any other event.

It’s all about mixing and melding party elements to create an awesome experience for the humans attending.


That’s right. Your wedding is actually about your witnesses. Because otherwise you’d head down to City Hall with your betrothed and just do the damn thing by yourself.

And weddings need witnesses! I got married this summer, and one of the biggest things I’ve realized in the planning process is actually how weddings are really the perfect opportunity to celebrate and honor your closest family and friends. Because I couldn’t imagine a happier moment than saying your vows as you are surrounded by your personal human support system. It’s magical.

 

But how do you get there? Which of those humans are actually going to show up? How many drinks or dinner entrees or portable designer bathroom trailers will you need? People are inherently unpredictable, especially when it comes to party-going, and wedding guests may be the worst offenders.

 
Breathe. Estimating wedding RSVPs doesn’t have to be aggravating. Here are some tips for managing and calculating your guest list, no matter where you are in the planning process.


1. Community
Building and strengthening our members’ sense of belonging.

 
2. Engagement

Creating opportunities to deliver a complete Equinox experience to drive advocacy, retention, and acquisition.


3. Scale

Leveraging technology to manage, evolve, and expand our events strategy.


Using these 3 major tenets and a killer events program, Matt was able to get better customer engagement, less churn, and, ultimately, everyone’s goal -- more customers.


See how below:

Want your event to run as smoothly as a duck? Here are 5 best practices for reaching your highest door goals.

Start Bending The "Rules" Early.

Old wedding lore says invitations are supposed to be sent out to your guests six weeks in advance. Most people don’t play by these rules anymore, and neither should you. The earlier you can send out invitations, the earlier you can request those guests to RSVP and the earlier your guests will be able to plan their trip. It may be more stressful to think about invitations five months before your wedding, but if you have the details pinned down, why not send them as soon as possible? No one is going to regret getting an invitation or a Save the Date too early.

Know The Deal-Breakers.

Certain wedding elements will make it more difficult for guests to attend, and will help you better guess who might bail. Local guests that have a short travel time to your venue and fewer expenses are more likely to attend. Other factors that can influence your RSVP rate:

 
- Percentage of out-of-town guests invited

- Day of the week of your wedding (typically non-Saturday weddings can be cheaper!)

- Time of day of your wedding (nupitals over breakfast, anyone?)

- Accessibility of your wedding (is it 5 hours from the nearest airport?)

- How explicity you request RSVP information

Don't Make RSVPing An Afterthought.

3. Scaling: Putting it All Together with Technology and Data

If you’re worried about guests sending in their RSVPs, make it an integral part of your wedding invitation. Include a specific respond-by date and spell out how to RSVP right there next to the ceremony location and time. Traditional response cards may still be popular, but they are definitely not easier. Plus, many of those cards get forgotten. I didn’t include one in my invitation and I know many friends following suit. It’s much less fussy just to direct someone to a custom wedding website URL.

 
And–of course–there’s no better way to manage RSVPs than with Splash. (Shameless, yes, but true, guys!) It’s actually one of the features I’m most proud of: Inputting guest information as you plan and then having the ability to email reminders to those who have not yet RSVPed.

 
If you can’t give up the response cards, try both! Most of your guests would probably rather RSVP via an interactive and so-totally-you Splash Page than by mailing in a static RSVP card. Plus, your wedding Splash will give them much more information than your paper invitation, including videos of you and your partner, and interactive maps of your venue. No competition there.


But What About Grandma?

3. Scaling: Putting it All Together with Technology and Data

Call her. Ask her if she’s coming. Then walk her through your Splash and don’t be surprised when she sends you an Splash invite to her next Red Hat Society meeting. #seniorslovesplashtoo


Be Picky With Plus Ones.

3. Scaling: Putting it All Together with Technology and Data

Who gets a plus one? A good rule of thumb: If your guest has a husband or wife, they get a plus one. If your guest has a long-time partner (let’s say 2 years), they get a plus one. However, if your guest has a new significant other, things can get tricky, especially if you are trying to keep your guest list concise or just don’t want strangers attending your wedding.

 
If you need a hard-and-fast rule, then make up your own. If your guest wasn’t dating this significant other, or you haven’t personally met this significant other, by the time you send your Save the Date, count them out. Solves your problem, and save a few outliers, will make perfect sense to your guests.


Skip The 75% Guideline.

3. Scaling: Putting it All Together with Technology and Data

Another fun method many people use to guess their guest total is to assume that 25% of the list will RSVP “no.” Although this is a good place to start, it’s not a personalized approach.


Try My Personal RSVP Formula

3. Scaling: Putting it All Together with Technology and Data

Instead, use this 3-step method for figuring out how many guests you can expect at your wedding:

 
1. Using your full guest list, assess each guest’s likeliness to show up.

 
2. Based on each guests likeliness to attend, assign each a percentage:

    0 – Definite no
    .25 – Probably not
    .5 – Maybe yes, maybe no
    .75 – Probably coming
    1 – Definitely coming
    1.5 – Definitely coming, maybe with a plus-one
    2 – Definitely coming with a plus-one


3. Add up all the percentages.

    Example:
    John (0.25), Jen (0.75), Ashley (1.0), Laura & Guest (2.0).
    Total expected guests for this tiny wedding = 4


Don't Underestimate Guest Count.

3. Scaling: Putting it All Together with Technology and Data

Although these rules can help you better ballpark your wedding size, you should still party within your means. If your venue holds 200 people, and you invite 250, hoping that 25% won’t show, you are playing with fire. Literally–there are maximum venue capacity rules for fire hazard reasons and the fire department could easily shut down your wedding. So play it smart. Plan ahead. And you’ll have just the right room full of just the right people cheering you on.


See how they built it:



Do you have what it takes to leverage event technology? Learn more from Matt Burton in this 20-minute video.

event-team-collaboration-app

Not only is it helpful to quickly solve any issues (and there are always issues), but it’s also helpful to communicate with your team inside the venue on the status of check-ins. Most importantly, alert your sales team that their VIP guests have arrived.

5. Dos-and-Donts for Not Breaking The Law: Keep Count Of Your Attendee Numbers

The last thing you want to think about is hitting capacity. Because hitting capacity for your event would be a good thing… right?


Unfortunately, not keeping track of the number of attendees, and subsequently, violating fire permit laws, is a common problem for many event planners. Avoid this by using an old-fashioned clicker or the Splash App using the “checked out” status -- that’s key for tracking who’s in and out of the space.


Pro tip: have the fire permit in hand and contract printed out. And have another person keep track of how it feels inside the event, whether it’s hot in the venue or too crowded.


A couple good questions to consider asking the venue manager about the space:


• How many people in the venue makes it feel full?

• How many people makes it feel empty?

• Where can lines form?
• How many people can be at the bar at a time? (A typical drink order takes about 2 minutes. Alleviate bar crowds by having cocktail waitresses holding pre-made drinks.)

Bonus Details:

Timing: Start Door Duty an Hour Before Event

Sure, attendees may arrive late. Sure, you may still be organizing right up until the last minute. But people will begin showing up 25 minutes after starting time, which means, security has to be ready for the flow of arrivals. Some people will also arrive early and if the door isn’t staffed, you don’t want these people sneaking in before it’s time.

Staff Up: The Golden 1:50 Ratio

To maintain organization, have a 1:50 ratio between the company and guests. This may vary based on how complex the on-site registration is.

Veterans know: there is no such thing as too many RSVPs

When I was a rookie planner, I remember being very nervous that there were too many RSVPs and the right people wouldn't get in.

 

As much as the experience at the door matters, remember: a packed event is a good thing. A very good thing. A line makes you look popular, and people don't really mind waiting (if it moves). Much worse than over crowding is UNDER crowding... no one likes an empty room.  And when someone on your team is stressing, tell them to chill. You got this.

Do you have what it takes to leverage event technology? Learn more from Matt Burton in this 20-minute video.

author

Ben Hindman

Ben Hindman is co-founder and CEO of Splash, the country's fastest-growing event marketing platform that helps businesses and brands more effectively market through their events.


An event planner turned tech entrepreneur, events are in Ben’s DNA. Prior to starting Splash, Ben was the Director of Events at Thrillist, where he produced large-scale events from concerts to mystery fly-aways. He also co-founded the invite-only Summit Series, a premier event which attracts the world's leading entrepreneurs. Before that, Ben founded and sold DC By Foot, DC's only free walking tour company. In another life, Ben goes by Benny Beatbox, and has performed at the White House and on stage with Naughty by Nature – but not at the same time.

About the Author

Ben Hindman is co-founder and CEO of Splash, the country's fastest-growing event marketing platform that helps businesses and brands more effectively market through their events. An event planner turned tech entrepreneur, events are in Ben’s DNA. Prior to starting Splash, Ben was the Director of Events at Thrillist, where he produced large-scale events from concerts to mystery fly-aways.

Ready to learn how Splash can transform your marketing stack?

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